Tigers by the Numbers

Thanks guys.

2009-12-19T11:47:25.007-05:00

Thanks guys.

Good luck! You will do great there.

2009-12-19T02:10:38.909-05:00

Good luck! You will do great there.

You're a great addition to BYB, Mike. You've done ...

2009-12-18T15:19:09.632-05:00

You're a great addition to BYB, Mike. You've done good work in the Tigersosphere, and become a must-read. I look forward to seeing what you do in the future.

I think, in the long run, this might be a good bas...

2009-12-18T10:13:20.109-05:00

I think, in the long run, this might be a good baseball move. But with Maggs, Guillen, and Inge all nearly gone, and the central up for grabs, I would rather see the Tigers go for it in 2010, and 2011. I think they have a chance to be competitive in '10, and to possibly be very good in '11, and still be young and talented enough to rebuild without getting a huge haul from a Verlander

I haven't been a very big Dombo fan for a while no...

2009-12-10T21:33:20.814-05:00

I haven't been a very big Dombo fan for a while now -- the Willis thing was indefensible, the Jarrod Washburn and Aubrey Huff deals were just retarded, and that Renteria deal lead to, not kidding, two broken keyboards and a half-broken mouse when I read about it -- but I didn't realize how little faith I had in him until today, when I thought:

"Man, I'm so glad the

One would think. However, I'm not sure what else t...

2009-12-10T17:59:56.902-05:00

One would think. However, I'm not sure what else there is that he likes from Jackson unless he cites Scherzer's health or ability to remain a starter. At which point, that begs the question: just how much does he love Austin Jackson then? Because that would make him the No. 1 cog of The Trade due to turning down Scherzer for Jackson.

Scott: I don't disagree with anything you wrote. H...

2009-12-10T17:56:31.356-05:00

Scott: I don't disagree with anything you wrote. However, I think that it is time to start the rebuilding process. I don't think we need to do it by this time next week because we have time, but I think we should be rebuilding at some point.

Anonymous 2: I agree that Dombrowski's overall track record has been good, however I'm questioning his track record recently. He

I am glad someone said this and not sure if tradin...

2009-12-10T13:05:53.696-05:00

I am glad someone said this and not sure if trading Verlander is a horrible idea. Afterall there is still Porcello, maybe Scherzer if he stays healthy/a starter along with Crosy and Turner if they turn out as hope (for 2012?). No I dont want to lose JV cuz I am more attached to him than Curtis but if there is any strength in the minors its a few starters (and apparently an arse load of releivers)

CHONE projects a similar season for Max and Jackso...

2009-12-10T11:46:32.335-05:00

CHONE projects a similar season for Max and Jackson and EJ's #'s could simply look better next season b/c of pitching in the NL.

But, even when applying the league adjustments for this season and projecting forward, I would have to agree that Scherzer is the better pitcher.

I have to imagine that DD does not use ERA as a predictive tool.

1. Does JV want to re-sign here? 2. Will we offer ...

2009-12-10T11:39:30.019-05:00

1. Does JV want to re-sign here?
2. Will we offer up enough money to keep him?
3. Do we think his abilities will remain long enough to command such a long term, big money contract even with the risks involved (i.e. injuries)?

Those are some of the questions, DD needs to think about. If JV won't be here past 2011, then it is definitely something we need to explore.

But the problem is we don't have the quality to br...

2009-12-09T23:33:07.564-05:00

But the problem is we don't have the quality to bring back another elite or very good level hitter. We WOULD have that after a Verlander trade, potentially. Or, we can acquire one FOR Verlander and then just continue to rebuild and in 3-4 years have a young team like Tampa Bay that will contend while Cabrera is still here.

As you said, Verlander isn't a free agent for two ...

2009-12-09T23:29:22.769-05:00

As you said, Verlander isn't a free agent for two more years. After 2010, 40 to near 60 million is off the books. The Tigers could then afford to sign him to one of those 100 plus million contracts. As for the hitter to compliment Cabrera, just like when they traded quantity with some yet to be determined quality prospects, another similar trade could be made to bring a hitter to pair with

I too question the thinking here - if it went down...

2009-12-09T16:14:55.959-05:00

I too question the thinking here - if it went down like this. But I'm going to assume thtat the report is wrong. It just doesn't make sense any other way.

Surplus value is surplus value, but it's important...

2009-12-08T15:44:55.387-05:00

Surplus value is surplus value, but it's important to recognize Everett for what he is: a starter who offers little above replacement level production.

A quarter or third of a win in surplus is worthwile, but a team that expected to contend in a weak division would probably -- no definitely, given the shape of the win-value curve -- be better off paying market rate for a 3-win

I'm happy with the move for no other reason that i...

2009-12-07T20:58:12.214-05:00

I'm happy with the move for no other reason that it means we don't get Bobby Crosby. I loved the graphs you made.

Hah, trying to Kurt. For some reason it just won't...

2009-12-07T15:41:34.695-05:00

Hah, trying to Kurt. For some reason it just won't take your site as a link.

I think you made the right decision. The old name ...

2009-12-07T09:47:11.846-05:00

I think you made the right decision. The old name served a purpose, but it could also confuse the message now. Good choice. Now fix your damn sidebar, haha

I'm glad that our math has worked out the same on ...

2009-12-06T21:36:35.415-05:00

I'm glad that our math has worked out the same on that one.

Genius, Mike!

2009-12-06T17:55:23.099-05:00

Genius, Mike!

I don't know what the slot rec is for the 89th pic...

2009-11-26T17:41:12.248-05:00

I don't know what the slot rec is for the 89th pick, but my guess is that it's close to what Gaynor got. My guess is that the Gaynor pick is what allowed them to go over slot for Fields and Oliver and Turner. Well, not all three, but helped.

I was not impressed with the Gaynor pick in the th...

2009-11-26T17:40:18.238-05:00

I was not impressed with the Gaynor pick in the third round myself. It felt like an over reach to me. That inspired every baseball fan in Bowling Green, Kentucky, to come tell me I was wrong. So maybe your hits will go up!

And Ronnie Bourquin was exactly the player I had in mind. Or even Brennan Boesch, to some extent. You can be an incredible college batter in a small conference,

Scott, I did similar stuff with college pitchers, ...

2009-11-26T00:33:08.174-05:00

Scott, I did similar stuff with college pitchers, too. However, I didn't stick with it as offensive numbers interested me more. Pitchers are just extremely tough because mechanics, in my opinion, play an even bigger role in evaluating pitchers. If a hitter has a hole in his swing, that's one thing. But a pitchers mechanics could cause them to completely shred their arm. So, it would'

Very nice post. Do you know of any studies done t...

2009-11-26T00:25:23.028-05:00

Very nice post. Do you know of any studies done to evaluate college pitchers? Andrew Oliver had a heck of a sophomore season (at least in the scout's eyes) before falling off a bit last season for a variety of reasons. Given that pitcher and batters are so different, I'm not sure if the same theory would apply. If it does, though, then could it be assumed that the Tigers may have got

Sam, that's fine. I haven't seen anyone agree with...

2009-11-20T03:02:32.014-05:00

Sam, that's fine. I haven't seen anyone agree with me and I 100% understand the reasoning everyone has for not wanting him -- he certainly hasn't helped his case with the things he's said in the media and things he's done like getting into it with the fans.

But, for me, I'm just all about whatever helps the team win. So, for better or worse, I'm like the NFL

No way on Milton Bradley, WAY too much baggage. Th...

2009-11-20T03:00:10.718-05:00

No way on Milton Bradley, WAY too much baggage. There is a reason he has been on 5 different teams in his career and it has nothing to do with talent. Chemistry can be overrated, but Bradley is to baseball as TO is to football, an incredibly talented individual who despite some glossy stats will make any team worse.